Standard Liege
W
Kickoff
16:15
Cercle BruggeL
Provisional selection · Filed 03:39 UTC · confirmed with the lineups 45 minutes before kickoff
Cercle BruggeProvisional selection · Filed 03:39 UTC · confirmed with the lineups 45 minutes before kickoff
Cercle Brugge are projected to create notably the better chances at 2.04 expected goals against Standard Liege's 1.27, yet both sides retain sufficient attacking threat to score, so both teams to score rates at 59 percent.
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Tap any market for the model's reasoning, the numbers behind it and to track the pick. Fair price is the de overrounded model probability expressed as decimal odds, not a bookmaker quote.
The SharpCast Builder is a same-game multi built only from this fixture's own picks. Because the legs come from one match they are correlated, and the combined chance is priced over the projected scorelines rather than multiplied as if independent. The price shown is the model's fair price for that chance.
The same-game multi for this fixture, built from its own picks and priced for correlation, is a Pro feature.
The higher-odds build for this fixture, reaching for 20/1 or more from supported legs, is a Pro feature.
3.3 expected goals · most likely total 3 · an open, high scoring game
model probability · fair price
Each side's goals per game over recent matches (the bar) against the expected goals their chances were worth (the tick). Scoring past the tick means finishing well; conceding inside the tick means defending well.
From both sides' cards per game over the last 1+ matches, shrunk toward the league baseline.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.